Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 25
pro vyhledávání: '"Chernis, Tony"'
The macroeconomy is a sophisticated dynamic system involving significant uncertainties that complicate modelling. In response, decision makers consider multiple models that provide different predictions and policy recommendations which are then synth
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2406.03321
Bayesian predictive synthesis (BPS) provides a method for combining multiple predictive distributions based on agent/expert opinion analysis theory and encompasses a range of existing density forecast pooling methods. The key ingredient in BPS is a `
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2311.12671
Autor:
Chernis, Tony1 (AUTHOR) tchernis@bankofcanada.ca
Publikováno v:
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics. Apr2024, Vol. 28 Issue 2, p293-317. 25p.
Publikováno v:
In International Journal of Forecasting July-September 2020 36(3):851-872
Akademický článek
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Autor:
Chernis, Tony1 tchernis@bankofcanada.ca, D'Souza, Chris1 cdsouza@bankofcanada.ca, MacLean, Kevin1 kmaclean@bankofcanada.ca, Reader, Tasha1 treader@bankofcanada.ca, Slive, Joshua1 jslive@bankofcanada.ca, Suvankulov, Farrukh1 fsuvankulov@bankofcanada.ca
Publikováno v:
Business Outlook Survey. Q3 2022, Vol. 19 Issue 3, preceding pi-29. 32p.
Autor:
Chernis, Tony, Webley, Taylor
Assessing the state of the economy in real time is critical for policy-making, and understanding the risks to those assessments is equally important. Policy-makers are typically provided with point forecasts that contain insufficient information abou
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::5863da5d0c673e9e907e1c24fbe4a6f1
Autor:
Chernis, Tony1 cedw@bankofcanada.ca, Sekkel, Rodrigo1 rsekkel@bankofcanada.ca
Publikováno v:
Empirical Economics. Aug2017, Vol. 53 Issue 1, p217-234. 18p. 3 Charts, 5 Graphs.
Autor:
Chernis, Tony, Luu, Corinne
Because the Bank of Canada has started withdrawing monetary stimulus, monitoring the transmission of these changes to monetary policy will be important. Subcomponents of consumption and housing will likely respond differently to a monetary policy tig
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::bc8ac6472b080b4694ad500bbc61c40f
Autor:
Chernis, Tony, Sekkel, Rodrigo
This paper studies short-term forecasting of Canadian real GDP and its expenditure components using combinations of nowcasts from different models. Starting with a medium-sized data set, we use a suite of common nowcasting tools for quarterly real GD
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::522dfb7c65f385c3bb28691470fcd985