Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 43
pro vyhledávání: '"CHEN-YUAN TUNG"'
Autor:
Chen-yuan Tung
Publikováno v:
Revista UNISCI, Iss 9 (2005)
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/5176cda804844c94a3224eeb86c0319b
Autor:
Chen-Yuan Tung
Publikováno v:
Revista UNISCI, Iss 7 (2005)
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/f7148b780ccc472ba5c4bb2ab1339a0c
Publikováno v:
International Journal of Forecasting. 35:297-312
Prediction markets have been an important source of information for decision makers due to their high ex post accuracies. Nevertheless, recent failures of prediction markets remind us of the importance of ex ante assessments of their prediction accur
Publikováno v:
BMC Public Health. Aug2015, Vol. 15 Issue 1, p1-12. 12p. 3 Color Photographs, 6 Charts, 10 Graphs.
Autor:
Chen-yuan Tung, Jason J. H. Yeh
Publikováno v:
The Chinese Economy. 47:40-56
President Ma Ying-Jeou's strategy to engage Taiwan in regional market integration calls for the use of the cross-strait Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA) with China as a pathway to join the East Asian economic integration. This article
Autor:
Chen-yuan Tung
Publikováno v:
American Asian Review. Spring2003, Vol. 21 Issue 1, p25. 29p.
Publikováno v:
The Journal of Prediction Markets. 7:29-44
This study successfully establishes the principal component analysis with discriminant analysis (PCA-DA) model to assess the accuracy of contracts in the prediction markets ex ante based on the highest-price criterion. Trained by the xFuture data (7,
Autor:
Hung-Wen Lin1 Pm4@nccu.edu.tw, Chen-yuan Tung2 ctung@nccu.edu.tw, Yeh, Jason3 jasonyeh@baf.msmail.cuhk.edu.hk
Publikováno v:
Journal of Prediction Markets. 2013, Vol. 7 Issue 3, p29-44. 16p.
Publikováno v:
Journal of Prediction Markets. Dec2011, Vol. 5 Issue 3, p1-26. 26p. 10 Charts, 9 Graphs.
Publikováno v:
The Journal of Prediction Markets. 5:1-26
This paper devises a methodology to compare the accuracy of prediction markets and polls. The data of the Exchange of Future Events (xFuture) for Taiwan’s 2006 mayoral elections and 2008 presidential election show that the prediction markets outper