Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations.

Autor: Sherratt K; London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom., Gruson H; London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom., Grah R; European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), Stockholm, Sweden., Johnson H; European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), Stockholm, Sweden., Niehus R; European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), Stockholm, Sweden., Prasse B; European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), Stockholm, Sweden., Sandmann F; European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), Stockholm, Sweden., Deuschel J; Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany., Wolffram D; Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany., Abbott S; London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom., Ullrich A; Robert Koch Institute, Berlin, Germany., Gibson G; University of Massachusetts Amherst, Amherst, United States., Ray EL; University of Massachusetts Amherst, Amherst, United States., Reich NG; University of Massachusetts Amherst, Amherst, United States., Sheldon D; University of Massachusetts Amherst, Amherst, United States., Wang Y; University of Massachusetts Amherst, Amherst, United States., Wattanachit N; University of Massachusetts Amherst, Amherst, United States., Wang L; Boston Children's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, United States., Trnka J; Third Faculty of Medicine, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic., Obozinski G; Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland., Sun T; Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland., Thanou D; Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland., Pottier L; Éducation nationale, Valbonne, France., Krymova E; Eidgenossische Technische Hochschule, Zurich, Switzerland., Meinke JH; Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH, Jülich, Germany., Barbarossa MV; Frankfurt Institute for Advanced Studies, Frankfurt, Germany., Leithauser N; Fraunhofer Institute for Industrial Mathematics, Kaiserslautern, Germany., Mohring J; Fraunhofer Institute for Industrial Mathematics, Kaiserslautern, Germany., Schneider J; Fraunhofer Institute for Industrial Mathematics, Kaiserslautern, Germany., Wlazlo J; Fraunhofer Institute for Industrial Mathematics, Kaiserslautern, Germany., Fuhrmann J; Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany., Lange B; Helmholtz Centre for Infection Research, Braunschweig, Germany., Rodiah I; Helmholtz Centre for Infection Research, Braunschweig, Germany., Baccam P; IEM, Inc, Bel Air, United States., Gurung H; IEM, Inc, Bel Air, United States., Stage S; IEM, Inc, Baton Rouge, United States., Suchoski B; IEM, Inc, Bel Air, United States., Budzinski J; Independent researcher, Vienna, Austria., Walraven R; Independent researcher, Davis, United States., Villanueva I; Institut d'Investigacions Biomèdiques August Pi i Sunyer, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona, Spain., Tucek V; Institute of Computer Science of the CAS, Prague, Czech Republic., Smid M; Institute of Information Theory and Automation of the CAS, Prague, Czech Republic., Zajicek M; Institute of Information Theory and Automation of the CAS, Prague, Czech Republic., Perez Alvarez C; Inverence, Madrid, Spain., Reina B; Inverence, Madrid, Spain., Bosse NI; London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom., Meakin SR; London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom., Castro L; Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, United States., Fairchild G; Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, United States., Michaud I; Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, United States., Osthus D; Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, United States., Alaimo Di Loro P; LUMSA University, Rome, Italy., Maruotti A; LUMSA University, Rome, Italy., Eclerova V; Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic., Kraus A; Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic., Kraus D; Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic., Pribylova L; Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic., Dimitris B; Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, United States., Li ML; Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, United States., Saksham S; Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, United States., Dehning J; Max-Planck-Institut für Dynamik und Selbstorganisation, Göttingen, Germany., Mohr S; Max-Planck-Institut für Dynamik und Selbstorganisation, Göttingen, Germany., Priesemann V; Max-Planck-Institut für Dynamik und Selbstorganisation, Göttingen, Germany., Redlarski G; Medical University of Gdansk, Gdańsk, Poland., Bejar B; Paul Scherrer Institute, Villigen, Switzerland., Ardenghi G; Politecnico di Milano, Milan, Italy., Parolini N; Politecnico di Milano, Milan, Italy., Ziarelli G; Politecnico di Milano, Milan, Italy., Bock W; Technical University of Kaiserlautern, Kaiserslautern, Germany., Heyder S; Technische Universität Ilmenau, Ilmenau, Germany., Hotz T; Technische Universität Ilmenau, Ilmenau, Germany., Singh DE; Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Leganes, Spain., Guzman-Merino M; Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Leganes, Spain., Aznarte JL; Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia (UNED), Madrid, Spain., Morina D; Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain., Alonso S; Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain., Alvarez E; Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain., Lopez D; Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain., Prats C; Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain., Burgard JP; Universitat Trier, Trier, Germany., Rodloff A; University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany., Zimmermann T; University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany., Kuhlmann A; University of Halle, Halle, Germany., Zibert J; University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia., Pennoni F; University of Milano-Bicocca, Milano, Italy., Divino F; University of Molise, Pesche, Italy., Catala M; University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom., Lovison G; University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy., Giudici P; University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy., Tarantino B; University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy., Bartolucci F; University of Perugia, Perugia, Italy., Jona Lasinio G; University of Rome 'La Sapienza', Rome, Italy., Mingione M; University of Rome 'La Sapienza', Rome, Italy., Farcomeni A; University of Rome 'Tor Vergata', Rome, Italy., Srivastava A; University of Southern California, Los Angeles, United States., Montero-Manso P; University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia., Adiga A; University of Virginia, Charlottesville, United States., Hurt B; University of Virginia, Charlottesville, United States., Lewis B; University of Virginia, Charlottesville, United States., Marathe M; University of Virginia, Charlottesville, United States., Porebski P; University of Virginia, Charlottesville, United States., Venkatramanan S; University of Virginia, Charlottesville, United States., Bartczuk RP; University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Dreger F; University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Gambin A; University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Gogolewski K; University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Gruziel-Slomka M; University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Krupa B; University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Moszyński A; University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Niedzielewski K; University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Nowosielski J; University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Radwan M; University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Rakowski F; University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Semeniuk M; University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Szczurek E; University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Zielinski J; University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Kisielewski J; University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland.; University of Bialystok, Warsaw, Poland., Pabjan B; University of Wroclaw, Wroclaw, Poland., Holger K; Universtät Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany., Kheifetz Y; Universtät Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany., Scholz M; Universtät Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany., Przemyslaw B; Warsaw University of Technology, Warsaw, Poland., Bodych M; Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Wroclaw, Poland., Filinski M; Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Wroclaw, Poland., Idzikowski R; Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Wroclaw, Poland., Krueger T; Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Wroclaw, Poland., Ozanski T; Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Wroclaw, Poland., Bracher J; Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany., Funk S; London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.

Publikováno v: ELife [Elife] 2023 Apr 21; Vol. 12. Date of Electronic Publication: 2023 Apr 21.

National and subnational short-term forecasting of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during early 2021.

Autor: Bracher J; Chair of Statistical Methods and Econometrics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany. johannes.bracher@kit.edu.; Computational Statistics Group, Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical Studies (HITS), Heidelberg, Germany. johannes.bracher@kit.edu., Wolffram D; Chair of Statistical Methods and Econometrics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany.; Computational Statistics Group, Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical Studies (HITS), Heidelberg, Germany.; HIDSS4Health - Helmholtz Information and Data Science School for Health, Karlsruhe/Heidelberg, Germany., Deuschel J; Chair of Statistical Methods and Econometrics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany., Görgen K; Chair of Statistical Methods and Econometrics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany., Ketterer JL; Chair of Statistical Methods and Econometrics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany., Ullrich A; Robert Koch Institute (RKI), Berlin, Germany., Abbott S; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK., Barbarossa MV; Frankfurt Institute for Advanced Studies, Frankfurt, Germany., Bertsimas D; Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, USA., Bhatia S; MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College London, London, UK., Bodych M; Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Wroclaw, Poland., Bosse NI; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK., Burgard JP; Economic and Social Statistics Department, University of Trier, Trier, Germany., Castro L; Information Systems and Modeling, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, USA., Fairchild G; Information Systems and Modeling, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, USA., Fiedler J; Fraunhofer Institute for Industrial Mathematics (ITWM), Kaiserslautern, Germany., Fuhrmann J; Institute for Applied Mathematics, University of Heidelberg, Heidelberg, Germany., Funk S; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK., Gambin A; Faculty of Mathematics, Informatics, and Mechanics, University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Gogolewski K; Faculty of Mathematics, Informatics, and Mechanics, University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Heyder S; Institute of Mathematics, Technische Universität Ilmenau, Ilmenau, Germany., Hotz T; Institute of Mathematics, Technische Universität Ilmenau, Ilmenau, Germany., Kheifetz Y; Institute for Medical Informatics, Statistics and Epidemiology, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany., Kirsten H; Institute for Medical Informatics, Statistics and Epidemiology, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany., Krueger T; Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Wroclaw, Poland., Krymova E; Swiss Data Science Center, ETH Zürich and EPF Lausanne, Zürich, Switzerland., Leithäuser N; Fraunhofer Institute for Industrial Mathematics (ITWM), Kaiserslautern, Germany., Li ML; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, USA., Meinke JH; Jülich Supercomputing Centre, Forschungszentrum Jülich, Jülich, Germany., Miasojedow B; Faculty of Mathematics, Informatics, and Mechanics, University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Michaud IJ; Statistical Sciences Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, USA., Mohring J; Fraunhofer Institute for Industrial Mathematics (ITWM), Kaiserslautern, Germany., Nouvellet P; School of Life Sciences, University of Sussex, Brighton, UK., Nowosielski JM; Interdisciplinary Centre for Mathematical and Computational Modelling, University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Ozanski T; Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Wroclaw, Poland., Radwan M; Interdisciplinary Centre for Mathematical and Computational Modelling, University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Rakowski F; Interdisciplinary Centre for Mathematical and Computational Modelling, University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Scholz M; Institute for Medical Informatics, Statistics and Epidemiology, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany., Soni S; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, USA., Srivastava A; Ming Hsieh Department of Computer and Electrical Engineering, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA., Gneiting T; Computational Statistics Group, Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical Studies (HITS), Heidelberg, Germany.; Institute for Stochastics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany., Schienle M; Chair of Statistical Methods and Econometrics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany. melanie.schienle@kit.edu.; Computational Statistics Group, Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical Studies (HITS), Heidelberg, Germany. melanie.schienle@kit.edu.

Publikováno v: Communications medicine [Commun Med (Lond)] 2022 Oct 31; Vol. 2 (1), pp. 136. Date of Electronic Publication: 2022 Oct 31.

A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave.

Autor: Bracher J; Chair of Statistics and Econometrics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany. johannes.bracher@kit.edu.; Computational Statistics Group, Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical Studies (HITS), Heidelberg, Germany. johannes.bracher@kit.edu., Wolffram D; Chair of Statistics and Econometrics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany.; Computational Statistics Group, Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical Studies (HITS), Heidelberg, Germany., Deuschel J; Chair of Statistics and Econometrics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany., Görgen K; Chair of Statistics and Econometrics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany., Ketterer JL; Chair of Statistics and Econometrics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany., Ullrich A; Robert Koch Institute (RKI), Berlin, Germany., Abbott S; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK., Barbarossa MV; Frankfurt Institute for Advanced Studies, Frankfurt, Germany., Bertsimas D; Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, USA., Bhatia S; MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), Imperial College London, London, UK., Bodych M; Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Wroclaw, Poland., Bosse NI; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK., Burgard JP; Economic and Social Statistics Department, University of Trier, Trier, Germany., Castro L; Information Systems and Modeling, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, USA., Fairchild G; Information Systems and Modeling, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, USA., Fuhrmann J; Frankfurt Institute for Advanced Studies, Frankfurt, Germany.; Jülich Supercomputing Centre, Forschungszentrum Jülich, Jülich, Germany., Funk S; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK., Gogolewski K; Institute of Informatics, University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Gu Q; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA., Heyder S; Institute of Mathematics, Technische Universität Ilmenau, Ilmenau, Germany., Hotz T; Institute of Mathematics, Technische Universität Ilmenau, Ilmenau, Germany., Kheifetz Y; Institute for Medical Informatics, Statistics and Epidemiology, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany., Kirsten H; Institute for Medical Informatics, Statistics and Epidemiology, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany., Krueger T; Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Wroclaw, Poland., Krymova E; Swiss Data Science Center, ETH Zurich and EPFL, Lausanne, Switzerland., Li ML; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, USA., Meinke JH; Jülich Supercomputing Centre, Forschungszentrum Jülich, Jülich, Germany., Michaud IJ; Statistical Sciences Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, USA., Niedzielewski K; Interdisciplinary Centre for Mathematical and Computational Modeling, University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Ożański T; Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Wroclaw, Poland., Rakowski F; Interdisciplinary Centre for Mathematical and Computational Modeling, University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Scholz M; Institute for Medical Informatics, Statistics and Epidemiology, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany., Soni S; Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, USA., Srivastava A; Ming Hsieh Department of Computer and Electrical Engineering, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA., Zieliński J; Interdisciplinary Centre for Mathematical and Computational Modeling, University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland., Zou D; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA., Gneiting T; Computational Statistics Group, Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical Studies (HITS), Heidelberg, Germany.; Institute for Stochastics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany., Schienle M; Chair of Statistics and Econometrics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany. melanie.schienle@kit.edu.

Publikováno v: Nature communications [Nat Commun] 2021 Aug 27; Vol. 12 (1), pp. 5173. Date of Electronic Publication: 2021 Aug 27.

An elastic net penalized small area model combining unit- and area-level data for regional hypertension prevalence estimation.

Autor: Burgard JP; Department of Economic and Social Statistics, Trier University, Trier, Germany., Krause J; Department of Economic and Social Statistics, Trier University, Trier, Germany., Münnich R; Department of Economic and Social Statistics, Trier University, Trier, Germany.

Publikováno v: Journal of applied statistics [J Appl Stat] 2020 May 14; Vol. 48 (9), pp. 1659-1674. Date of Electronic Publication: 2020 May 14 (Print Publication: 2021).

Disentangling inhibition-based and retrieval-based aftereffects of distractors: Cognitive versus motor processes.

Autor: Singh T; Department of Cognitive Psychology, University of Trier., Laub R; Department of Cognitive Psychology, University of Trier., Burgard JP; Department of Economic and Social Statistics, University of Trier., Frings C; Department of Cognitive Psychology, University of Trier.

Publikováno v: Journal of experimental psychology. Human perception and performance [J Exp Psychol Hum Percept Perform] 2018 May; Vol. 44 (5), pp. 797-805. Date of Electronic Publication: 2017 Nov 20.