Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 213
pro vyhledávání: '"Budzier, A"'
The paper explores "uniqueness bias," a behavioral bias defined as the tendency of planners and managers to see their decisions as singular. For the first time, uniqueness bias is correlated with forecasting accuracy and performance in real-world pro
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2408.07710
Autor:
Budzier, Alexander, Flyvbjerg, Bent
The present paper is an update of the "Oxford Olympics Study 2016" (Flyvbjerg et al. 2016). We document that the Games remain costly and continue to have large cost overruns, to a degree that threatens their viability. The IOC is aware of the problem
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2406.01714
Autor:
Flyvbjerg, Bent, Budzier, Alexander, Lee, Jong Seok, Keil, Mark, Lunn, Daniel, Bester, Dirk W.
Publikováno v:
Journal of Management Information Systems, vol. 39, no. 3, fall issue, 2022
If managers assume a normal or near-normal distribution of Information Technology (IT) project cost overruns, as is common, and cost overruns can be shown to follow a power-law distribution, managers may be unwittingly exposing their organizations to
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2210.01573
The Olympic Games are the largest, highest-profile, and most expensive megaevent hosted by cities and nations. Average sports-related costs of hosting are $12.0 billion. Non-sports-related costs are typically several times that. Every Olympics since
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2009.14682
This study provides an independent, outside-in estimate of the cost and schedule risks of nuclear waste storage projects. Based on a reference class of 216 past, comparable projects, risk of cost overrun was found to be 202% or less, with 80% certain
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/1901.11123
Autor:
Flyvbjerg, Bent, Budzier, Alexander
This report was commissioned by the Commission of Inquiry Respecting the Muskrat Falls Project to provide the national and international context in which the Muskrat Falls Project took place. The Commission asked for the report to cover three specifi
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/1901.03698
Publikováno v:
In International Journal of Project Management May 2023 41(4)
Autor:
Flyvbjerg, Bent, Budzier, Alexander
This report reviews the Edinburgh tram project's risk management. Projects frequently overrun their cost and timelines and fall short on intended benefits. Cost, schedule, and benefit risk of projects need to be carefully considered to avoid this. Th
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/1805.12106
Autor:
Budzier, Alexander
IT projects are temporary organizations of strategic importance. Companies invest large amounts of money, time, and resources into business-embedded IT projects in order to change and gain a competitive advantage. Extreme cases of failures were previ
Externí odkaz:
http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.627834
Publikováno v:
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, vol 32, 2016
The prevalent view in the economics literature is that a high level of infrastructure investment is a precursor to economic growth. China is especially held up as a model to emulate. Based on the largest dataset of its kind, this paper punctures the
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/1609.00415