A learning framework for designing climate services for capacity building

Autor: Maria del Pozo, Judith Gulikers, Bregje van der Bolt, Spyridon Paparrizos, Wouter Smolenaars, Perry den Brok, Fulco Ludwig

Publikováno v: Climate Services, Vol 34, Iss , Pp 100499- (2024)

Climate services aim to provide climate information to aid decision-making. However, in practice their effectiveness is hampered by factors such as incompatibility with decisions, neglect of user’s context, and limited understanding of the informat

Externí odkaz: https://doaj.org/article/40efd12d49664b6499b792f458133858

Understanding the critical rate of environmental change for ecosystems, cyanobacteria as an example.

Autor: Bregje van der Bolt, Egbert H van Nes

Publikováno v: PLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 6, p e0253003 (2021)

Recently it has been show that in some ecosystems fast rates of change of environmental drivers may trigger a critical transition, whereas change of the same magnitude but at slower rates would not. So far, few studies describe this phenomenon of rat

Externí odkaz: https://doaj.org/article/fd8e6f040a094f17bffce95ccfd763e3

No warning for slow transitions

Autor: Bregje van der Bolt, Marten Scheffer, Egbert H. van Nes

Publikováno v: Journal of the Royal Society Interface
Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 18(176), 20200935-20200935
Journal of the Royal Society, Interface 18 (2021) 176

A rise in fragility as a system approaches a tipping point may be sometimes estimated using dynamical indicators of resilience (DIORs) that measure the characteristic slowing down of recovery rates before a tipping point. A change in DIORs could be i

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::5bc5770a26396f202e034e1e3cf837a1
https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2020.0935

Climate reddening increases the chance of critical transitions

Autor: Bregje van der Bolt, Marten Scheffer, Egbert H. van Nes, Sebastian Bathiany, Marlies E. Vollebregt

Publikováno v: Nature Climate Change 8 (2018) 6
Nature Climate Change, 8(6), 478-484

Climate change research often focuses on trends in the mean and variance. However, analyses of palaeoclimatic and contemporary dynamics reveal that climate memory - as measured for instance by temporal autocorrelation - may also change substantially

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::69ddc06b8f5e18953abcf63094b0ef9a
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0160-7

What Do You Mean, 'Tipping Point'?

Autor: Egbert H. van Nes, Marten Scheffer, Sebastian Bathiany, Bernardo M. Flores, Bregje van der Bolt, Arie Staal, Babak M. S. Arani

Publikováno v: Trends in Ecology and Evolution 31 (2016) 12
Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 31(12), 902-904

Over the past 10 years the use of the term ‘tipping point’ in the scientific literature has exploded. It was originally used loosely as a metaphor for the phenomenon that, beyond a certain threshold, runaway change propels a system to a new state

Externí odkaz: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::a2a9d777419e7867d59f3a24aee8e659
https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/what-do-you-mean-tipping-point