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pro vyhledávání: '"Birrell, Paul"'
Autor:
Birrell, Paul J, Blake, Joshua, Kandiah, Joel, Alexopoulos, Angelos, van Leeuwen, Edwin, Pouwels, Koen, Ghosh, Sanmitra, Starr, Colin, Walker, Ann Sarah, House, Thomas A, Gay, Nigel, Finnie, Thomas, Gent, Nick, Charlett, André, De Angelis, Daniela
A central pillar of the UK's response to the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic was the provision of up-to-the moment nowcasts and short term projections to monitor current trends in transmission and associated healthcare burden. Here we present a detailed deconstr
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2408.04178
Likelihood-free inference methods based on neural conditional density estimation were shown to drastically reduce the simulation burden in comparison to classical methods such as ABC. When applied in the context of any latent variable model, such as
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2405.01737
Autor:
Corbella, Alice, McKinley, Trevelyan J., Birrell, Paul J., Presanis, Anne M., Spencer, Simon E. F., Roberts, Gareth O., De Angelis, Daniela
Particle filtering methods are well developed for continuous state-space models. When dealing with discrete spaces on bounded domains, particle filtering methods can still be applied to sample from and marginalise over the unknown hidden states. Neve
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2212.04400
Modelling the transmission dynamics of an infectious disease is a complex task. Not only it is difficult to accurately model the inherent non-stationarity and heterogeneity of transmission, but it is nearly impossible to describe, mechanistically, ch
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2208.14363
Health-policy planning requires evidence on the burden that epidemics place on healthcare systems. Multiple, often dependent, datasets provide a noisy and fragmented signal from the unobserved epidemic process including transmission and severity dyna
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2204.08901
Autor:
Kirwan, Peter, Charlett, Andre, Birrell, Paul, Elgohari, Suzanne, Hope, Russell, Mandal, Sema, De Angelis, Daniela, Presanis, Anne
Widespread vaccination campaigns have changed the landscape for COVID-19, vastly altering symptoms and reducing morbidity and mortality. We estimate trends in mortality by month of admission and vaccination status among those hospitalised with COVID-
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2112.10661
Autor:
Brizzi, Francesco, Birrell, Paul J, Kirwan, Peter, Ogaz, Dana, Brown, Alison E, Delpech, Valerie C, Gill, O Noel, De Angelis, Daniela
Background: After a decade of a treatment as prevention (TasP) strategy based on progressive HIV testing scale-up and earlier treatment, a reduction in the estimated number of new infections in men-who-have-sex-with-men (MSM) in England had yet to be
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2010.00740
Akademický článek
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Akademický článek
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Autor:
Pouwels, Koen B., Walker, A. Sarah, Crook, Derrick, Matthews, Philippa C., Peto, Tim, Pritchard, Emma, Stoesser, Nicole, Vihta, Karina-Doris, Howarth, Alison, Doherty, George, Kavanagh, James, Chau, Kevin K., Hatch, Stephanie B., Ebner, Daniel, Martins Ferreira, Lucas, Christott, Thomas, Marsden, Brian D., Dejnirattisai, Wanwisa, Mongkolsapaya, Juthathip, Hoosdally, Sarah, Cornall, Richard, Stuart, David I., Screaton, Gavin, Eyre, David, Bell, John, Cox, Stuart, Paddon, Kevin, James, Tim, House, Thomas, Newton, John N., Robotham, Julie V., Birrell, Paul, Jordan, Helena, Sheppard, Tim, Athey, Graham, Moody, Dan, Curry, Leigh, Brereton, Pamela, Hay, Jodie, Vansteenhouse, Harper, Bell, Iain, Diamond, Ian, Lambert, Alex, Benton, Pete, Rourke, Emma, Hawkes, Stacey, Henry, Sarah, Scruton, James, Stokes, Peter, Thomas, Tina, Allen, John, Black, Russell, Bovill, Heather, Braunholtz, David, Brown, Dominic, Collyer, Sarah, Crees, Megan, Daglish, Colin, Davies, Byron, Donnarumma, Hannah, Douglas-Mann, Julia, Felton, Antonio, Finselbach, Hannah, Fordham, Eleanor, Ipser, Alberta, Jenkins, Joe, Jones, Joel, Kent, Katherine, Kerai, Geeta, Lloyd, Lina, Masding, Victoria, Osborn, Ellie, Patel, Alpi, Pereira, Elizabeth, Pett, Tristan, Randall, Melissa, Reeve, Donna, Shah, Palvi, Snook, Ruth, Studley, Ruth, Sutherland, Esther, Swinn, Eliza, Thomas, Heledd, Tudor, Anna, Weston, Joshua, Leib, Shayla, Tierney, James, Farkas, Gabor, Cobb, Raf, Van Galen, Folkert, Compton, Lewis, Irving, James, Clarke, John, Mullis, Rachel, Ireland, Lorraine, Airimitoaie, Diana, Nash, Charlotte, Cox, Danielle, Fisher, Sarah, Moore, Zoe, McLean, James, Kerby, Matt, Pouwels, Koen B *, *, Robotham, Julie V, Birrell, Paul J, Gelman, Andrew, Bowers, Nikola, Boreham, Ian, Lewis, James, Bell, John I, Newton, John N, Farrar, Jeremy, Walker, Ann Sarah
Publikováno v:
In The Lancet Public Health January 2021 6(1):e30-e38