Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 115
pro vyhledávání: '"Bódai, Tamás"'
We study the forced response of the teleconnection between the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and global precipitation in general and the Indian summer monsoon (IM) in particular in the Max Planck Institute Grand Ensemble. The forced response of
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2009.02155
Autor:
Bodai, Tamas, Lucarini, Valerio
We show that a known condition for having rough basin boundaries in bistable 2D maps holds for high-dimensional bistable systems that possess a unique nonattracting chaotic set embedded in their basin boundaries. The condition for roughness is that t
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2001.08871
Autor:
Lucarini, Valerio, Bodai, Tamas
For a wide range of values of the incoming solar radiation, the Earth features at least two attracting states, which correspond to competing climates. The warm climate is analogous to the present one; the snowball climate features global glaciation a
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/1903.08348
Extreme geophysical events are of crucial relevance to our daily life: they threaten human lives and cause property damage. To assess the risk and reduce losses, we need to model and probabilistically predict these events. Parametrizations are comput
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/1903.05514
Autor:
Lucarini, Valerio, Bodai, Tamas
Publikováno v:
Phys. Rev. Lett. 122, 158701 (2019)
The Earth is well-known to be, in the current astronomical configuration, in a regime where two asymptotic states can be realised. The warm state we live in is in competition with the ice-covered snowball state. The bistability exists as a result of
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/1808.05098
Autor:
Bódai, Tamás
It is a common phenomenon in nature and technology that a system under perturbations exits a regime of its usual dynamics. Often it is possible to define a potential function whereby a potential well can be associated with a usual or persistent dynam
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/1808.06903
We study the relationship between the El Ni\~no--Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian summer monsoon in ensemble simulations from state-of-the-art climate models, the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model (MPI-ESM) and the Community Earth Sys
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/1803.08909
Geoengineering can control only some climatic variables but not others, resulting in side-effects. We investigate in an intermediate-complexity climate model the applicability of linear response theory (LRT) to the assessment of a geoengineering meth
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/1803.09606
We search for the signature of universal properties of extreme events, theoretically predicted for Axiom A flows, in a chaotic and high dimensional dynamical system by studying the convergence of GEV (Generalized Extreme Value) and GP (Generalized Pa
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/1704.05268
Publikováno v:
Journal of Climate, 2020 Mar . 33(6), 2163-2182.
Externí odkaz:
https://www.jstor.org/stable/26916854
