Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 27
pro vyhledávání: '"Ataman Ozyildirim"'
This volume focuses on the analysis and measurement of business cycles in Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS). Divided into five parts, it begins with an overview of the main concepts and problems involved in monitoring and forecast
Autor:
Ataman Ozyildirim
Publikováno v:
Societies and Political Orders in Transition ISBN: 9783319900162
In many countries, composite indexes of leading economic indicators (LEI) are used to help predict short-term cyclical fluctuations of the economy in conjunction with composite indexes of coincident economic indicators (CEI). They also serve to analy
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::6981ab8ef8655cfd0eb5da905fa9e1e3
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-90017-9_25
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-90017-9_25
Autor:
Ataman Ozyildirim
Publikováno v:
Societies and Political Orders in Transition ISBN: 9783319900162
This chapter presents the indicator approach to business cycle analysis followed by The Conference Board and others around the world. It reviews the utilization of turning point analysis in the indicator selection process. The composite index methodo
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::60897f8f4d124b0d0624b625353ccf34
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-90017-9_17
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-90017-9_17
Publikováno v:
Societies and Political Orders in Transition ISBN: 9783319900162
The current best practices in measuring, monitoring, and forecasting economic cycles are drawn from the experience of mature economies such as the USA, Japan, and several Western European countries. Meanwhile, there are a lot of peculiarities in emer
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::c10717193403479eeefa2dbd4b667fc3
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-90017-9_29
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-90017-9_29
Autor:
Aloisio CampeloJr, Jing Sima-Friedman, Sarah Piassi Machado Lima, Ataman Ozyildirim, Paulo Picchetti
Publikováno v:
Societies and Political Orders in Transition ISBN: 9783319900162
In this chapter, we develop coincident and leading indexes of economic activity for Brazil following the approach used by The Conference Board (TCB). We show that our selection of coincident indicators and the composite index created from them closel
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::d0b8c1b3403a23ad9104408bcbd09828
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-90017-9_18
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-90017-9_18
Publikováno v:
Societies and Political Orders in Transition ISBN: 9783319900162
Business cycle analysis relying on composite indexes provides an understanding of the direction of the economic activity in market economies that is essential for macroeconomic policy formulation and decision making. With the liberalization of the In
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::38558f325953597db950ba7a0ebb5dc4
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-90017-9_23
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-90017-9_23
Publikováno v:
International Journal of Forecasting. 31:426-445
In this paper, we evaluate the usefulness of financial indicators according to their ability to predict recessions (i.e., peaks in the business cycle). We then select a small set of financial indicators to aggregate into a single composite index of f
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::42269033d341d1dd46c3863a05e81725
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2014.11.004
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2014.11.004
Publikováno v:
SSRN Electronic Journal.
This paper reviews existing innovation metrics at the company-level and country-level, and proposes a system of signposts of innovation to help executives with a guiding framework and data resources for evaluating and planning innovation strategies a
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::dcf3f0dcb8ee636f92b295af3580b56c
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2970648
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2970648
Publikováno v:
Management Science. 58:336-350
We show that U.S. stock and Treasury futures prices respond sharply to recurring stale information releases. In particular, we identify a unique macroeconomic series—the U.S. Leading Economic Index® (LEI)—which is released monthly and constructe
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::baddb0f1be7e51b2f7e96111a839d093
Publikováno v:
Journal of Forecasting. 29:6-28
Clusters of cyclical turning points in the coincident indicators help us identify and date euro area recessions and recoveries in the past several decades. In the USA and some other countries, composite indexes of coincident indicators (CEI) are used
Externí odkaz:
https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::924b54d5c60c3681780c8d888cbca37b
https://doi.org/10.1002/for.1146
https://doi.org/10.1002/for.1146