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pro vyhledávání: '"Antoine Auberger"'
Autor:
Antoine Auberger
Publikováno v:
French Politics. 20:276-283
Autor:
Antoine Auberger
Publikováno v:
French Politics. 17:451-467
In this article, we study a popularity function for the popularity of the French political parties (1981Q2–2017Q1). At first, we suppose that voters have a retrospective behaviour according to the reward-punishment model in a closed economy. We sho
Autor:
Antoine Auberger
Publikováno v:
French Politics. 12:235-254
The purpose of this article is to study and to compare the influence of local unemployment on the vote in French elections for the European Parliament, in French legislative elections and in French presidential elections. The results of our paper sho
Autor:
Antoine Auberger
Publikováno v:
Économie publique/Public economics. :247-271
Cet article a pour objet la construction et l’estimation d’un modèle permettant d’expliquer et de prévoir le résultat du second tour des élections présidentielles françaises par département et au niveau national (1988-1995 et 1988-2007 ;
Autor:
Antoine Auberger
Publikováno v:
Public Choice. 153:329-340
This article builds and estimates several econometric models that explain and forecast the outcomes of the French elections for the European Parliament. These models show the influence of the change in the local unemployment rate to explain the vote
Autor:
Antoine Auberger
Publikováno v:
Canadian Journal of Political Science. 43:123-136
The purpose of this article is to build a model that explains and forecasts the outcome of the second-round vote in the French presidential elections (with the hypothesis of a classic duel between left and right) in each department and at the nationa
Autor:
Antoine Auberger
Publikováno v:
French Politics. 6:94-100
The purpose of this short paper is to build and estimate a model that explains and forecasts the vote received by the National Front at the first round of the French presidential elections (1988–2002 and 1988–2007) with local economic conditions
Publikováno v:
Revue Française d'Economie
Revue Française d'Economie, Association Française d'Économie, 2007, XXI (4), pp.5-23. ⟨10.3406/rfeco.2007.1687⟩
Revue Française d'Economie, Association Française d'Économie, 2007, XXI (4), pp.5-23. ⟨10.3406/rfeco.2007.1687⟩
Politico-Econometric Models and Electoral Predictions for May 2007 in France This paper discusses the question of electoral prediction based on politicoeconometric models. It presents a brief historical sketch of this specific research domain in poli
Autor:
Antoine Auberger, Eric Dubois
Publikováno v:
Public Choice
Public Choice, Springer Verlag, 2005, 125 (3-4), pp.363
Public Choice, Springer Verlag, 2005, 125 (3-4), pp.363
International audience; This article's aim consists in building and estimating a model which explains and forecasts the outcomes of the French legislative elections by department. This model, which constitutes the first attempt for such a geographica
Autor:
Antoine Auberger
Publikováno v:
Swiss Political Science Review. 11:61-78
The purpose of this article is to build and to estimate a model which explains and forecasts the outcomes of the French European elections by department, by electoral district and at the national level. The model is accurate in forecasting the electi