Zobrazeno 1 - 10
of 106
pro vyhledávání: '"Andrew J. G. Cairns"'
Publikováno v:
Risks, Vol 4, Iss 3, p 21 (2016)
This paper uses mortality fan charts to illustrate prospective future male mortality. These fan charts show both the most likely path of male mortality and the bands of uncertainty surrounding that path. The fan charts are based on a model of male mo
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/85ab7cefadc04c9888c8147a6ad50979
Publikováno v:
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics. 99:190-199
We use a stochastic age–period–cohort mortality model to analyse US data for years 1989–2015 and ages 50-75, separated by gender, educational attainment, and cause of death. The paper focuses, in particular, on the fitted cohort effect for each
Autor:
Andrew J. G. Cairns, David Blake
Publikováno v:
Annals of Actuarial Science. 14:219-261
This Special Issue of the Annals of Actuarial Science contains 12 contributions to the academic literature all dealing with longevity risk and capital markets. Draft versions of the papers were presented at Longevity 14: The Fourteenth International
Publikováno v:
Annals of Actuarial Science. 15:144-172
We compare results for 12 multi-population mortality models fitted to 10 distinct socio-economic groups in England, subdivided using the Index of Multiple Deprivation. Using the Bayes Information Criterion to compare models, we find that a special ca
Publikováno v:
Annals of Actuarial Science. 14:384-419
Different mortality rates for different socio-economic groups within a population have been consistently reported throughout the years. In this study, we aim to exploit data from multiple public sources, including highly detailed cause-of-death data
Publikováno v:
North American Actuarial Journal. 24:533-561
This article looks at the mortality of Canadian pensioners subdivided by pension level using data from the Canada Pension Plan (CPP) and Quebec Pension Plan (QPP). Differing pension levels (11 grou...
Publikováno v:
North American Actuarial Journal. 25:S97-S118
This article considers the assessment of longevity basis risk in the context of a general index-based hedge. We develop a detailed framework for measuring the impact of a hedge on regulatory or eco...
Publikováno v:
The North American actuarial journal, 2019, Vol.25(sup1), pp.S170-S181 [Peer Reviewed Journal]
We consider the effectiveness of an illustrative annuity hedging problem in which a forward annuity predicated on one population is hedged by a position in a forward annuity predicated on another population. Our analysis makes use of the age-period-c
Publikováno v:
PLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 7, p e0253854 (2021)
PLoS ONE
PLoS ONE
Background We identify socioeconomic disparities by region in cancer morbidity and mortality in England for all-cancer and type-specific cancers, and use incidence data to quantify the impact of cancer diagnosis delays on cancer deaths between 2001
Publikováno v:
Annals of Actuarial Science
Annals of actuarial science, 2020, Vol.14(2), pp.445-460 [Peer Reviewed Journal]
Annals of actuarial science, 2020, Vol.14(2), pp.445-460 [Peer Reviewed Journal]
The purpose of this paper is to identify a workhorse mortality model for the adult age range (i.e., excluding the accident hump and younger ages). It applies the “general procedure” (GP) of Hunt & Blake [(2014), North American Actuarial Journal,