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pro vyhledávání: '"Alexander Foltas"'
Autor:
Katja Heinisch, Christoph Behrens, Jörg Döpke, Alexander Foltas, Ulrich Fritsche, Tim Köhler, Karsten Müller, Johannes Puckelwald, Hannes Reichmayr
Publikováno v:
Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik.
The paper describes the “Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) Forecasting Dashboard (ForDas)”. This tool aims at providing, on a non-commercial basis, historical and actual macroeconomic forecast data for the Germany economy to researchers
Autor:
Alexander Foltas
Publikováno v:
Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik. 242:191-222
I analyze the narratives that accompany business cycle forecasting reports of three German institutes using topic models. To this end, I gather multiple similar topics into different economic subject categories, allowing me to map shifting prioritiza
Autor:
Alexander Foltas, Christian Pierdzioch
Publikováno v:
Applied Economics Letters. 29:1644-1653
We use quantile random forests (QRF) to study the efficiency of the growth forecasts published by three leading German economic research institutes for the sample period from 1970 to 2017. To this ...
Autor:
Alexander Foltas, Christian Pierdzioch
Publikováno v:
Applied Economics Letters. 29:867-872
We study the efficiency of growth and inflation forecasts published by three leading German economic research institutes during a period of time ranging from 1970 to 2017. To this end, we examine w...