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pro vyhledávání: '"A. Wyner"'
Expected points is a value function fundamental to player evaluation and strategic in-game decision-making across sports analytics, particularly in American football. To estimate expected points, football analysts use machine learning tools, which ar
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2409.04889
Estimating win probability is one of the classic modeling tasks of sports analytics. Many widely used win probability estimators use machine learning to fit the relationship between a binary win/loss outcome variable and certain game-state variables.
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2406.16171
Agents act to bring about a state of the world that is more compatible with their personal or institutional values. To formalise this intuition, the paper proposes an action framework based on the STRIPS formalisation. Technically, the contribution e
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2403.16719
The standard mathematical approach to fourth-down decision making in American football is to make the decision that maximizes estimated win probability. Win probability estimates arise from machine learning models fit from historical data. These mode
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2311.03490
Much work in the parimutuel betting literature has discussed estimating event outcome probabilities or developing optimal wagering strategies, particularly for horse race betting. Some betting pools, however, involve betting not just on a single even
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2308.14339
Autor:
Brill, Ryan S.1 (AUTHOR) ryguy123@sas.upenn.edu, Wyner, Abraham J.2 (AUTHOR), Barnett, Ian J.3 (AUTHOR)
Publikováno v:
Entropy. Aug2024, Vol. 26 Issue 8, p615. 28p.
As a baseball game progresses, batters appear to perform better the more times they face a particular pitcher. The apparent drop-off in pitcher performance from one time through the order to the next, known as the Time Through the Order Penalty (TTOP
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2210.06724
Autor:
Brill, Ryan S., Wyner, Abraham J.
The baseball statistic "Wins Above Replacement" (WAR) has emerged as one of the most popular evaluation metrics. But it is not readily observed and tabulated; WAR is an estimate of a parameter in a vaguely defined model with all its attendant assumpt
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2209.07274
Autor:
Edwards, Justin, Wintersberger, Philipp, Clark, Leigh, Rough, Daniel, Doyle, Philip R, Banks, Victoria, Wyner, Adam, Janssen, Christian P., Cowan, Benjamin R.
This work aims to connect the Automotive User Interfaces (Auto-UI) and Conversational User Interfaces (CUI) communities through discussion of their shared view of the future of automotive conversational user interfaces. The workshop aims to encourage
Externí odkaz:
http://arxiv.org/abs/2110.10285
Publikováno v:
Entropy, Vol 26, Iss 8, p 615 (2024)
Much work in the parimutuel betting literature has discussed estimating event outcome probabilities or developing optimal wagering strategies, particularly for horse race betting. Some betting pools, however, involve betting not just on a single even
Externí odkaz:
https://doaj.org/article/e81341c7ebc04f38be19559c7833995b